Using Bayesian Priors in MMM: Do Better‑Looking Results Mean You Have a Better Model?

February 20, 2026By Simon FosterAdvertising Evaluation, Market Mix Models, Marketing Effectiveness, Marketing Mix Models, MMM

There is an active and polarising debate about whether Bayesian priors should be used in MMM. Broadly speaking there is a progressive group of academics and practitioners who argue that the use of Bayesian prior values, effectively applying guideline results bounds to your model, makes models more flexible and insightful. And on the other side … Read More

Techniques to evaluate marketing uplift experiments

August 7, 2025By Simon FosterAdvertising Evaluation, Marketing Effectiveness, Media Evaluation

Experiments are an important way to validate marketing effectiveness measurement.  This post will take you through some approaches to evaluating marketing uplift experiments. Let’s assume you run a test TV / VOD campaign over 4 weeks in March 2025. How can you measure the sales revenue uplift it created? In this post, we’ll look at … Read More

What is incrementality in marketing – extracting trend, seasonality and brand equity

December 11, 2024By Simon FosterAdvertising Evaluation, Marketing Effectiveness, Marketing Training, Media Evaluation, MMM

Marketing incrementality is sales revenue that is over and above that which might be expected with no marketing activity. Establishing incrementality is critical if you want genuine brand growth. Why? Because many performance platforms collect, report and even double-count sales from multiple sources, including those which might happen even if you didn’t run any activity. … Read More

Why digital media attribution could be compromising your media ROI

October 17, 2023By Simon FosterAdvertising Evaluation, Digital Media, Marketing Effectiveness, Media Evaluation

You’ve probably heard the expression ‘The devil is in the detail‘. It tells us that focusing on detail is the way to solve problems.  In many ways, this expression is true, but in this post I’d like to argue that placing too much focus on the digital detail can mean marketers and their agencies miss … Read More